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Consulting ServicesEnhancing Your Project TeamThe consulting services of Knudsen Wildlife Management Systems are primarily oriented toward providing tightly focused expertise at specific points in the life cycle of a project, such as while:
Longer committments will be undertaken as permitted by the schedules of major projects. To learn more about available services, recent projects, or Brian Knudsen, please click on the topics at left. |
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Population ModelsPopulation models (computer simulations) can be massive or tiny (Very Simple Models). The correct choice of model depends on the goal of the project. Does the project require precise predictions in small geographical area? Or does it require reasonably realistic predictions across a province, country or continent?Knudsen Wildlife Management Systems emphasizes small, clear models that can be readily understood by a wide range of stakeholders and colleagues. These models can be traditional or fuzzy.
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Workshops
There are many contexts in which information is best disseminated by bringing an appropriate group
together in a workshop setting. Participants can be the field staff of a project, stakeholders in a management plan, or individuals needing a starter or refresher
course in a specialized skill area.
One type of workshop that is particularly appropriate for wildlife biologists is the practical aspects of parametric statistics. Many statistical methods that biologists have learned and applied must be used with caution, or avoided. Fortunately, these concepts can be conveyed clearly in a few hours. Significance tests and confidence intervals are two statistical tools which are appropriate in far fewer cases than many biologists believe. I have had 30 years of experience in conducting these types of workshops, and am available for sessions ranging from half a day to three days.
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Big Game Aerial Survey DesignAerial surveys are the principal technique for estimating big game populations. Knudsen Wildlife Management Systems offers support in designing aerial surveys to use aircraft time efficiently, simplify navigation for pilots, optimize sample units for GPS application (see The Three Minute Grid) and reduce the time to generate populations estimates for inclusion in reports.
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Risk Assessment SystemsThe concept of risk assessment is a pervasive one in current natural resource management. A variety of analytical tools have been developed to quantify risk levels, but their utility has been restricted by two significant drawbacks. Some, such as Habitat Suitability Indices, have restricted their input data to a small number of dimensions (vegetation, topography, shoreline, etc.) when other factors (predation, hunting, disease) are the overarching causes of changes in abundance. The second drawback is the requirement of many models for complete sets of quantitative data. These data are often unobtainable under any circumstances, and certainly not within the time and funding boundaries that exist for most projects.Knudsen Wildlife Management Systems builds models based on fuzzy logic, that adjust their data requirements to levels of input that are available. Intensively quantitative data, with clearly established relationships that have been subjected to peer review in scholarly journals, are incorporated as fully as possible. Relationships that are less precisely known, and baseline data that are known only approximately, are incorporated at the level of precision that they provide.
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Project and Report ReviewsCritical reviews of project plans and reports are available with short turnaround times.
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Living Management PlansWildlife management plans have, unfortunately, a history of being developed with enthusiasm, announced with fanfare and implemented with neglect. Recent increases in the level of public scrutiny of natural resource management has caused a change in this pattern. Management plans must now include tangible targets along a timeline, with verifiable measures of progress. If circumstances change or targets are not met, it is expected that mid-course corrections will be applied. These corrections require that projections be adjusted. If such corrections are to be developed and implemented in a timely fashion, the structure of the underlying models must allow for rapid change. This is a particular benefit of using Fuzzy Expert Systems in managment plans.Knudsen Wildlife Management Systems offers a range of fuzzy systems for incorporation into living management plans.
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Custom DatabasesThere are substantial benefits to be gained by storing project data in well-designed databases, rather than in spreadsheets. A relatively small investment of time before beginning field work pays off in the following areas:
Of course, the reason spreadsheets are used so often is that almost everyone knows how to plug data into one in a reasonably organized way. And it takes a lot of time (years) to be able to put together a custom database relatively quickly. The answer is to have custom databases created by someone who has already invested the time.
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Recent ProjectsOctober, 2010: Fuzzy Logic in Woodland Caribou ManagementIn October 2010, I presented a paper, entitled "Fuzzy Expert Systems As A Tool To Convey 'Weight Of Evidence' In Natural Resource Management', at the 13th North American Caribou Workshop: Sustaining Caribou and Their Landscapes - Knowledge To Action. The paper emphasized the ability of fuzzy systems to incorporate Aboriginal expert knowledge into the functioning of models, and has an intrinsic link with the weight of evidence concept that is proposed as the core approach to identifying critical woodland caribou habitat in Canada. The presentation has been submitted as a paper for publication in the conference proceedings.September, 2009 - March, 2011: Fuzzy Logic Risk Assessment Models for Woodland Caribou in ManitobaIn collaboration with the Manitoba Model Forest and Manitoba Conservation, Knudsen Wildlife Management Systems has been developing a process for assigning a risk index to each woodland caribou herd in Manitoba, based on disturbance, the trend of the population, and the size of the population. The system is written in Python, and can be run from within ESRI ArcGIS.June, 2010: Feral Pigs in QuebecIn June 2010, Rosemary Dzus and I visited Ste-Perpetue, Quebec, in the county of L'Islet, near the Maine border, where feral pigs (wild boars) had been reported, dating as far back as 1995, to see if any local populations were persisting. In a meeting with local ATV enthusiasts,
we learned that there were indeed wild boars west of Ste-Perpetue, and that they were being hunted ("Sangliers!!! Barbeque!!!") . This type of information is important to record, because it often stays under the radar of sample-based monitoring. In areas where feral pigs have become a problem, it has been common to discover that local residents had been aware of pigs for years, but never thought they were a problem. Then they found that, quite suddenly, there were pigs everywhere, rooting and feeding, and it had become impossible to get rid of them. If warmer winters persist, feral pigs will only move further north in North America, and become more of a problem.
June/July, 2010: Woodland Caribou Habitat in Eastern Canada
In the summer of 2010, Rosemary Dzus and I also visited several locations in Quebec, Labrador and the island of Newfoundland, where woodland caribou herds occur. This was a valuable opportunity to get a feel for the variation in environments that woodland caribou occupy, from the Avalon Peninsula to the Northern Peninsula to the Mealy Mountains and the Red Wine area. The access provided by the Trans-Labrador Highway, which only opened in 2010, gave us the chance to do this, but will also bring a massive increase in disturbance to the Mealy Mountain area. That is unlikely to bode well for the local herd.
December, 2008 - May, 2010: Aerial Surveys of Moose in Northern ManitobaIn the spring of 2010, Knudsen Wildlife Management Systems and Wildlife Resource Consulting Services of Winnipeg, Manitoba, completed a two-year aerial survey of moose populations in a 43,000 square kilometer area north of Gillam, Manitoba. The survey involved two levels of stratification flying (with participation by local First Nations individuals), sample units based on the three minute grid, consultation with First Nations communities, automated development of GPS route files and complete storage of data within GIS.June/July, 2009: Feral Pig Studies in the Texas Panhandle
In the summer of 2009, I worked with colleagues at Texas Tech University in Lubbock, setting up a framework for recording observations of feral pig penetration into the agricultural land of the Southern Plains area around Lubbock. Until recently, feral pigs had not moved west from the rugged land below the rock escarpment called the Caprock (photo at right), into the extensive irrigated agricultural areas of the Llano Estacado. Knudsen Wildlife Management Systems created a system of recording information on a three minute grid, in ESRI ArcGIS, whereby reports of feral pig presence and activity could be summarized in a way that would allow eradication efforts to be implemented in a strategic way, gradually pushing feral pig populations back to the edge of the Caprock.
May, 2009: Feral Pig Locations in Saskatchewan
In May, 2009, Rosemary Dzus and I travelled to several locations in Saskatchewan at which feral pigs had been reported, to gather data on local persistence or disappearance. We learned that in the valley of the South Saskatchewan River, just north of Sceptre, wild boars were persisting. Sows were using islands in the river as sites for having their litters, and local residents were hunting boars. At Grasslands National Park, just downstream on the Frenchman River from a large captive wild boar herd, there were no reports of any pigs remaining at large. At Moose Mountain Park, pigs were apparently seen only rarely outside of the park itself, and eradication methods were being structured as organized, focused teams working from the air and on the ground. This is the method which seems to have worked well in western North Dakota in 2008.
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Bio: Brian KnudsenI have been working in zoology and wildlife management in a variety of settings since 1966. In the summer of 1966, I worked on nematode parasites of mustelids as an assistant in the lab of Dr. Harold Welch at the University of Manitoba. I examined skulls of various mustelid species, generating the first species-specific infection rates for Manitoba, and isolating Skrjabingylus larvae from the droppings of captive weasels.
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It wouldn't have been the same journey without their companionship. Away from the keyboard I was also blessed with great colleagues and great friendships. In the office, the group was supportive through thick and thin. Out of the office, thanks to people who know Manitoba like the backs of their hands, I was able to see parts of the province that I only dreamt of seeing when I was a teenager, and more places that I didn't even know existed. Delta, the Summerberry, the Mantag, Chatfield, Souris River Bend, George Lake, Clematis. Places to go back to.
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